Brent Party votes in London 2012 elections

There is no doubt that London election polling is different to local or Parliamentary elections. Nonetheless it is a fantastic indicator for elections. For example, the London 2008 vote in Brent North and Barnhill in particular showed us that it was possible for Labour to make substantial gains in Brent at the expense of the Tories. We were proven right and Mikey Pavey’s landslide victory on May 3rd 2012 in the Brent Barnhill by-election was an amazing triumph for Brent Labour.

Here are the results in percentages Ward by Ward. I will comment below the graph on certain key results that may have wider implications.

Alperton

In a ward where the Liberals currently have two Councillors and Labour has one, Labour polled first by miles (63.4% of the vote!). The Tories even beat the Lib Dems who came third in this seat. Labour is on course to take all three Council seats in Alperton in 2014.

Barnhill

In a usually straight Labour Tory battle, the Tory vote collapsed. The Lib Dems didn’t field a candidate in the Barnhill by-election at all but in the Party vote they polled 9.1%. My suspicion is that many Liberals who were deserted by the Brent Council Lib Dem Group voted for the Conservative Party candidate in the Council vote.

Brondesbury Park

In a ward which currently has three Lib Dem Councillors, the Liberals were battered into fourth place behind Labour, the Tories and the Greens. Well done to the greens who won 11% of the vote there.

Dollis Hill

Perhaps this was due to there being a fresh Council by-election victory for the Liberals in Dollis Hill Ward, but it the Liberals polled higher in Dollis Hill than in any other ward in Brent with 14.1% of the vote. However, they were still beaten by Labour (56%) and the Tories (16%). It is interesting though that in the Ward where the Liberal vote now appears to be the strongest in Brent, they only sneaked in a by-election victory in March 2012 by 37 votes!

Dudden Hill 

My Ward. I share this ward with one Labour Councillor and a Lib Dem. In this ward, Labour polled 54.4% and the Tories 14.8%. This means there are less Tory votes for the Liberals to prize away, as is their usual tactic.

Kensal Green

The Liberals polled well here in the last Council and general election, but came a miserable fourth in this Ward.

Kenton

In the only ward in Brent where there are three Tory Councillors, the Conservative Party did well here.

Mapesbury

The Lib Dems currently have three Councillors in this Ward but signs for a Labour gain in the future are positive. Labour membership in this Ward has spiked up since the Lib Dems entered Government and the Liberals polled third behind the Tories and Labour in this Ward.

Queensbury

In what is known as a Labour vs Tory marginal Ward, Labour won more than twice as many votes than the Tories in this Ward.

Stonebridge

This is our strongest Ward with Labour winning 78.9% of the vote. The Lib Dems were battered into fourth place behind us, the Tories and the Greens. There narrowly polled ahead of the Christian Party who won 2.9% of the vote in Stonebridge. This is 0.2% less than what the Liberals polled. This is bad news for Brent Central MP Sarah Teather who did poll better than expected in Labour heartlands in Brent in order to win the Brent Central seat in 2010.

Sudbury

Labour currently has one Councillor in this ward and these poll results show that Labour is on course to gain at least another in Sudbury. Leader of the Liberal Democrat Group Cllr Paul Lorber is in a very nervous position and it will go down to the wire for the Sudbury Council vote in 2014.

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Brent Labour’s Mikey Pavey triumphs with a sensational Barnhill by-election victory

Welcome to the London Borough of Brent Cllr Michael Pavey

Mikey Pavey has emphatically won the Barnhill by-election. He polled more than all of the other candidates put together in a ‘marginal’ ward. Turnout was 37%.

Name

Party Votes Percentage
Martin Francis Green

613

14.3%

Michael Pavey Labour

2326

54.4%

Kanta Pindoria Tory

1180

27.6%

Venilal Vaghela Independent

156

3.6%

4275

Michael will be an asset to the Council and has run a formidable grassroots doorstep campaign in Barnhill and inspired residents in the Ward to come out and support him. His approach, energy, passion, commitment is unrivalled in Brent election history and his victory is well deserved.

Up until the May 2010 local Brent Council elections, Barnhill Ward had three Tory Councillors. Mikey is helping to transform Barnhill into a Labour stronghold and will not be complacent in taking voter support for granted. I fully trust him to continue to do his utmost for Barnhill residents as people feel the pinch from the Tory Liberal approach to addressing the deficit.

Liberals desert Barnhill

The Brent Liberal Democrats have failed to field a candidate for the Barnhill by-election on May 3rd 2012. Just two years ago at the local Brent Council elections in May 2010, the Lib Dems put up three candidates in Barnhill and they attracted a respectable 987, 903 and 799 votes for the three candidates there.

A number of questions arise on the mystery decision. Perhaps the Lib Dems are stepping aside to help out their Tory Coalition partners.

In addition, it has emerged that the Independent candidate, standing in the Barnhill by-election, stood for the Tories at the 2002 Brent Council elections in Queensbury Ward and according to this website, looks like he was involved with the Tories on a national scale as a Committee Member of the British Asian Conservative Link.

Labour’s candidate for the Brent Council by-election in Barnhill is Michael Pavey. Michael has considerable experience working in the employment sector in Brent, getting people into work.

Barnhill By-election on May 3rd 2012, but there should be one in Dudden Hill too

Following my blogpost here LINK – Judith Beckman has today officially resigned as a Councillor serving the London Borough of Brent in Barnhill Ward.

A by-election vote will be held on May 3rd 2012 to minimise the cost of an election to the Brent taxpayer. Judith moved to Plymouth in January and decided she would stand down in May so that Brent would not have to foot the avoidable extra cost of having a by-election on an odd date. With a major election already happening in May to elect the Mayor of London it makes perfect sense to have the election on this date.

I now think it is time for Dudden Hill Liberal Democrat Councillor David Clues, who has been living in Brighton since 8th December 2011 to resign so that a by-election can be held in Dudden Hill on May 3rd 2012

 

Barnhill by-election planned for 3rd May 2012

It’s an honour to serve at the London Borough of Brent with such a dedicated Labour Party activist in Councillor Judith Beckman.

Due to a change in personal circumstances, Judith is in the process of moving from Brent and therefore will resign from her position as Councillor for Barnhill ward in due course.

With less than 100 days to go until the London Mayoral elections on May 3rd 2012, it is only right that the London Borough of Brent has a by-election on this date in the interest of the Council taxpayer as this will minimise the cost to the public purse of having an election.

Judith will still be coming to Brent regularly.